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Kara Swisher Leaves EchoChamber for Weekend – Twitter will Fail April 28, 2008

Posted by John in Technology.
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Bold Prediction:  Twitter will fail.

Kara Swisher asks for a prediction on Twitter.

I love twitter and use it daily but what strikes me is the lack of ‘technical competitive strategy’.  Twitter runs the risk of being so open that it might not ever make money.  Ok so everyone is talking about monetization, but my take is different.  If I worked at Twitter I could have that business at $100m fast – it just seems an easy thing to do.  The key to their success is the platform and the concept called ‘value leakage’.

Everyday when a new twitter clients comes out Twitter loses value.  This may seem counterproductive but in a systems business the main vendor needs a ‘core’.  It seems that Twitter might just lose their core value if it  doesn’t implement some technical competitive strategy – meaning lock in a value core and build on it.  Twitter to me just seems to be a runaway success and out of control from both a scale and sustainable perspective.

I love Twitter but their braintrust needs to jam on a value core to build on their openness.

Comments»

1. Twitter is Rising Not Falling - They Still Need To Innovate « Furrier.org - Business & Technology Blog - April 29, 2008

[…] Twitter is Rising Not Falling – They Still Need To Innovate April 29, 2008 Posted by John Furrier in Technology. Tags: social media, twitter trackback Eric Eldon is reporting that Twitter traffic rising not falling.  Kara Swisher challenged everyone yesterday and posed the question will Twitter fail.  That got the elite in the blogosphere talking.  I believe that I was the only one who took the bold position that twitter will FAIL. […]


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